Jul

12



Lets check what happened to the logical advice I gave back in my rice article.

If you had heeded my advice of buying gold, instead of keeping your savings in cash(though it was a late advice, and the price of gold will go down anytime till November, that is definitely after November, that is the US presidential elections) how much you would have been unaffected by inflation in India, and rising food prices in America.

The article was published on May 7.

Price of Gold in US $ on May 7: $870 per oz

Gold Price chart May 08

Price of Indian Rupee on May 7(for our Indian readers): Rs 41.3 per US$

INR USD chart

Price of Gold in Indian Rupees on May 7: 35,931

Price of Gold in US$ today(July 11):$964.6 per oz

Gold Price chart July 08

Price of Indian Rupees in US $ today(July 11): Rs 42.8 per US $

Price of Gold in Indian Rupees on July 11: 41,284

If you had bought 1 oz Gold on 7th May, after reading my article, you would have made, today your savings bank would have had:

$964.6-$870= $94.6 per oz

In Indian rupees:

Rs 41,284-Rs 35,931= Rs 5,353

In percentage: 14.98%

If you had converted your savings, into Gold, since May 7 to July 11, your savings would have grown by around 15% compared to the inflation rate of 12%(well that’s not an accurate comparison, inflation rate on May 7 was around 8%, today its around 12% so that comes out as around 4% inflation between May 7 and July 11, that is every Re 1 you had on may 7 is today worth only 96 paisa compared to every Re 1 you had in gold, is now worth Re 1.15/-) which is going on right now you would have survived much better.

If you had kept your savings in Rupees, since May 7 to July 11, your Rs 35,931/- be now worth Rs 34,493.76(4% inflation difference), a loss of around Rs 1,430/-

If you had kept your savings in bank, then between May 7 to July 11, your Rs 35,931/- would have been by now Rs 36,290.31(At 6% annual inflation rate setup by RBI, that is 0.5% per month, for two months you accrue 1% interest), a loss of around Rs 1,100/-(after adjusting a negative 4% inflation rate).

If you had bought gold and kept your savings in Gold, since May 7 to July 11 your Rs 35,931/- be now worth Rs 41,284/-(we already went through that calculation), a profit of around Rs 5,138.88(after canceling the 4% inflation out).

DISCLAIMER:

1) I do not claim to be a financial consultant of any kind, I do not take responsibility of any profit or loss occurred by following my advice. It is completely non-professional advice, and purely for educational purpose.

2) The calculations I have made are not precise, but only for demonstration purposes. Just because there are precise numbers displayed there does not mean they are accurate.

Sources:

  1. http://www.tradingeconomics.com/Economics/Interest-Rate.aspx?Symbol=INR
  2. http://sify.com/finance/fullstory.php?id=14713840
  3. http://www.x-rates.com/d/INR/USD/graph120.html
  4. http://66.38.218.33/charts/livegold.html
  5. http://eaindustry.nic.in/

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  1. Forex » Lets check the Gold prices again Says:

    […] Financial Market News & Opinions, Forex, Stocks, Futures, Options | GraceCheng.com wrote an interesting post today onHere’s a quick excerpt Lets check what happened to the logical advice I gave back in my rice article. If you had heeded my advice of buying gold, instead of keeping your savings in cash(though it was a late advice, and the price of gold will go down anytime till November, that is definitely after November, that is the US presidential elections) how much you would have been unaffected by inflation in India, and rising food prices in America. The article was published on May 7. Price of Gold in US $ on May 7: $870 p […]

  2. Jennifer Lynn Says:

    Hey Renegade, looks like Dreamhost has finally unleashed our sites again. I just wanted to poke my head in to say hi. It will certainly be an interesting next few months for gold.

    May you live in interesting times”, indeed.

  3. poonam Says:

    thats quite precise, infact I did invest a few 5 figures though i was not too sure than but now.

  4. ray Says:

    Hi , I was reading ur blog posts and found some of them to be wow.. u write well.. Why don’t you popularize it more.. ur posts on ur blog ‘Reason for Liberty’ took my particular attention as some of them are interesting topics of mine too; BTW I help out some ex-IIMA guys who with another batch mate run http://www.rambhai.com where you can post links to your most loved blog-posts. Rambhai was the chaiwala at IIMA and it is a site where users can themselves share links to blog posts etc and other can find and vote on them. The best make it to the homepage! This way you can reach out to rambhai readers some of whom could become your ardent fans.. who knows.. :) Cheers,

  5. Luiz F. G. Deitos Says:

    here:
    http://www.dreamhoststatus.com/2008/07/10/reminder-network-maintenance-tomorrow-night/
    I wrote:
    AHHHHHHH PORCO DIOOOOOO!!!!!!!!!!!
    TA TUDO FUDIDO NESSA PORAA Q BOSTA!
    you asked:
    Why don’t you translate what Luiz said in English for us?
    I will respond to you:
    “aaaaaaahhhh God is pork!!!!!!!!!!

    (italian slang)
    ALLS IS FUCKED IN THIS ****!!!!!!!!!”

    your question is clarified? hehehehehehhehuiaheiuaheu
    [sorry for bad english]

    ???

  6. Luiz F. G. Deitos Says:

    reply to me in my blog!!! =)
     http://www.luizdeitos.com

    tnks! have a nice week……

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